President Donald Trump announced the United States and Iran are nearing a deal to end the war launched by the U.S. and Israel against Iran in late February, which has killed thousands. This potential agreement, reportedly involving Iran opening the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the U.S. ending its blockade and Iran relinquishing highly enriched uranium, is characterized by expert Danny Citrinowicz as a humiliating strategic failure for the U.S.
The conflict, intended to topple the Iranian regime, instead strengthened hard-liners and revealed Iran's significant leverage over the global economy through its ability to close the Strait. Trump, fearing escalation and recognizing Iran's unwillingness to capitulate, is perceived as having no viable alternatives. The deal is unlikely to dismantle Iran's nuclear facilities, merely freezing some material, and is seen as a consequence of Trump's 2015 nuclear deal withdrawal. Iran, feeling in the "driver's seat," is not expected to make further compromises.
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