Erika Lafrennie
Back in September, I wrote about where Beijing was most likely to test new military technologies, identifying peripheral theaters where operational learning could occur without triggering direct confrontation with the United States.
Recent events suggest a useful mirror question:
Where is the United States most likely to test its ability to fight against Chinese military technology without fighting China directly?
The answer may be Venezuela.
For months, the US military buildup in the Caribbean appeared excessive if evaluated narrowly through the lens of counternarcotics, Venezuela-specific regime pressure, or regional deterrence. The scale, composition, and duration of forces deployed exceeded what those missions alone would seem to require.
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