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13 March 2026

Russia Expects Iran to Endure U.S.–Israeli Strikes

Pavel K. Baev

Russian media and commentators argue that U.S.–Israeli airstrikes alone are unlikely to defeat the Iranian regime, predicting that Tehran can outlast political resolve in Washington. Russian President Vladimir Putin has responded cautiously to the war, condemning the killing of former Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, but otherwise staying largely silent to balance Russia’s partnership with Iran while avoiding confrontation with U.S. President Donald Trump.

Russian analysts predict mixed consequences from the conflict in Iran. The Kremlin may see short-term gains from higher oil prices, but it is also facing disruptions to its sanction-bypassing trade networks and uncertainty about how the conflict could affect its war against Ukraine.

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