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9 March 2026

Tell Me How This Ends: Six Questions That Will Shape the Outcome of the US-Israeli Operations Against Iran

Sydney Laite, Haleigh Bartos and Buckley DeJardin

“Tell me how this ends.”

Those were the words of David Petraeus, then a major general and the commander of the Army’s 101st Airborne Division, uttered just days after his division entered Iraq as part of the US-led invasion.

Fast-forward twenty-three years, look one country to the east, and Petraeus’s comment feels remarkably applicable. Once again, just days after commencing combat operations, the challenge of predicting what outcomes US military power will achieve, what unforeseen forces (whether violent, political, or other) it might unleash, and how it will impact the regional balance is a virtually impossible one. There are clear information gaps regarding what’s going on inside Iran. But amid the many questions, several stand out as particularly illuminating. As answers to these questions emerge, we will be given some glimpse of—if not the final outcome—at least what comes next.

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