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4 June 2025

The End of Erdogan


How the Turkish Leader Has Engineered His Own Undoing

HENRI J. BARKEY is Cohen Professor of International Relations Emeritus at Lehigh University and Adjunct Senior Fellow for Middle East Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations.

Turkey’s populist authoritarian leader, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is now fighting for his political survival. His predicament is entirely of his own making: in the early hours of March 19, Erdogan orchestrated a raid on the home of Ekrem Imamoglu, Istanbul’s popular mayor, deploying some 200 police officers. Imamoglu, a political rival who was widely seen as a future presidential contender, was arrested and indicted on highly dubious charges, including baseless accusations of corruption and terrorism. Despite bans on public gatherings, the arrest triggered Turkey’s largest antigovernment demonstrations in more than a decade, which spread throughout the majority of the

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