Stephen Blank
Key Points and Summary – A new strategic “Troika” aligning Russia, China, and India is on the verge of becoming a reality,
signaling a major geopolitical victory for Moscow and Beijing and a significant setback for Washington.
This emerging bloc is not an inflexible anti-American alliance but a pragmatic convergence of interests.
Driven by Russia’s need for support, China’s desire to neutralize a potential threat, and India’s quest for strategic autonomy amid its own complex rivalries,
the partnership effectively shatters the long-held American foreign policy goal of splitting Russia from China,
creating a formidable new power center in global politics.
A New ‘Axis’? The Geopolitical Earthquake of the Russia-China-India Troika
Virtually every recent assessment of Russo-Chinese relations in 2025 has discerned their growing closeness. Indeed,
Russia’s visible dependence on China to finance and prosecute its war with Ukraine is increasingly clear. At the same time,
both Russia and China regularly proclaim their friendship and the identity of their views on significant issues in international politics and the necessity of closer coordination.
Foreign Minister Wang Yi told European officials that China cannot afford a Russian defeat in Ukraine, lest it have to confront the full brunt of US power.
The growing intimacy and scope of their joint military relations and exercises also warrant serious attention and scrutiny from observers.
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