Maksym Beznosiuk
Russia’s drone war has entered a new, dangerous phase, increasingly driven by state funding, foreign supply chains, and long-term battlefield planning. With over 200 drones launched daily and production rising, Ukraine and its Western partners must treat this as a strategic challenge, not just a tactical nuisance. A significant escalation may hit this autumn, and it is crucial to prepare for it.
In 2025, Russia’s drone warfare strategy has shifted into a more coordinated, state-backed campaign that combines battlefield innovation and industrial scaling. The Kremlin’s objective is to apply prolonged pressure on Ukraine’s critical infrastructure, degrade national resilience, and psychologically exhaust its population.
This summer is a turning point for the Kremlin, with several recent developments since June indicating that it is preparing for long-term and high-volume drone attacks this autumn and winter. These moves require urgent action from both Ukraine and its Western partners, including steps to boost air defenses and infrastructure, and to expand drone and anti-drone technologies ahead of the next escalation phase.
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