Bidisha Saha
Moscow has stepped up its attacks in the past two weeks, aiming to break Ukrainian morale and secure victory. But the situation on the ground suggests that goal remains far-fetched.
India Today's Open Source Intelligence (OSINT) team analysed comprehensive strike data from ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data) and other media reports to understand how the scale of the war has intensified over the past two weeks.
Ukraine war map: How Russia's drone strike strategy is evolving
Data reveals a consistent upward trend in the number of drone and missile strikes across March, April, May, and June 2025, indicating an escalation in the intensity of the conflict during these months. On July 9, Russia launched 728 drones and 13 missiles in a single day — the largest airstrike since the war began in February 2022.
Ukraine war map: How Russia's drone strike strategy is evolving
Ground reports analysed by the American non-profit Institute for the Study of War (ISW) and other publications also indicate Russia's intensified offensive over the past 30 days. ISW assesses that Russian forces seized a total of 498.53 square kilometers in May 2025 and 466.71 square kilometers in June 2025.
At this pace, Russia is advancing by just 15 square kilometres a day — roughly the size of Delhi's international airport. So far, it already controls 113,888 square kilometres of Ukraine's total 603,000 square kilometres.
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