John Haltiwanger
Conflict has been on the rise across the globe in recent years, increasing instability and exposing the weaknesses of the international system. This trend continued in 2025, with intractable, long-running wars ongoing in many parts of the world; a new conflict emerging in the Western Hemisphere, as the United States conducts strikes on alleged drug-trafficking boats near Latin America; and historic border disputes continuing to fuel fresh clashes between countries such as Cambodia and Thailand.
Meanwhile, the Russia-Ukraine war is still raging, and there are many reasons to be skeptical that peace negotiations will produce a deal—particularly as Moscow continues to pummel Kyiv with devastating strikes and pushes for more Ukrainian territory.
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