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20 January 2026

What Do Chinese Analysts Say About the Thaw With India?

Namrata Hasija

Just over a year ago, India and China reached an agreement on patrolling arrangements along the Line of Actual Control (LAC), covering legacy friction points in Depsang and Demchok. The deal effectively brought an end to years of military tensions on the border, which flared to life after a Chinese military operation in eastern Ladakh in 2020.

For Beijing, the recent diplomatic thaw with New Delhi – evidenced by the late 2024 border agreements and subsequent high-level dialogue – is not a sign of softened strategic intent, but rather a pragmatic, tactical maneuver designed to navigate a period of acute geopolitical stress. From a Chinese domestic perspective, the decision to manage the India relationship is largely viewed through the lens of China-U.S. strategic competition and economic interests. Within China, the discourse frames the current outreach not as genuine friendship, but as a cautious and conditional rebalancing aimed at preventing India from becoming an irreversible strategic partner of the United States while leveraging economic opportunities.

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