Pages

13 April 2026

Tehran Does Not Need a Battlefield Victory to Win

Joe Buccino

Tehran's supreme leader is dead, its ballistic missile and drone capability significantly degraded, its navy destroyed, its nuclear sites rubble — and Iran is winning. This is consistent with a trend throughout modern war history: the side with more firepower loses if it does not tie a political end state to its military strategy. This was true of the French in Indochina, the Soviets in Afghanistan, and the United States in Vietnam. Superior firepower fails when it is untethered from a political end state.

What those conflicts shared was not a failure of military prowess from the more muscular, modern, and advanced force but rather a failure of imagination. In each case, the more powerful military could not see that its weaker adversary wins merely by surviving beyond the more powerful adversary’s will. The Iranian regime has long understood this. It’s clear that the Trump administration does not.

No comments:

Post a Comment