Tyyne Karjalainen
Since President Trump’s re-election, Ukraine and its European allies have quietly scaled back their objectives in countering Russia’s aggression. They are preparing to accept shifting borders in Donbas, while demands for accountability for Russia’s war crimes and for Ukraine’s right to join alliances have also diminished. For Ukraine, the main problem is that there is no peace in sight. The prolonged war means that Ukraine remains outside not only NATO but also the EU. Ad hoc coalitions cannot replace the benefits that formal alliances and institutions provide.
The implications for Europe are manifold. Ukraine’s fate illustrates how regional and global powers are abandoning established international rules also on the European continent. European states are particularly vulnerable to this erosion, as their security strategies rely heavily on agreements and cooperative frameworks. mEuropean security has become increasingly intertwined with Ukraine’s security. Europe will suffer if Russia achieves its objectives or if Ukraine fails to recover from the war.
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