12 July 2026

Five years after returning to power, the Taliban face less isolation than ever

Lowy Institute | Lynne O'Donnell

Taliban security forces in Herat recently shot protesters demonstrating against the regime's morality police, illustrating the ongoing repression in Afghanistan five years after the group's return to power. Despite these human rights abuses and documented ties to transnational terrorist organizations like Al-Qaeda, the international community is increasingly accommodating the regime rather than isolating it.

This diplomatic shift is characterized by expanding engagement, where foreign envoys meet openly with officials in Kabul and the United Nations has transitioned to calling the Taliban the country's "relevant authorities." Furthermore, Russia has signed a defense arrangement with the regime, while the United States has provided approximately US$5 billion in aid since 2021. Meanwhile, exiled political opponents remain deeply fractured and lack a viable path to challenge Kabul's authority, leaving the vulnerable Afghan population to endure systemic exclusion under a quietly lowered global threshold for acceptable state behavior.

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