Russia's military forces scaled their long-range strike campaign against Ukraine to between 5,000 and 6,000 Shahed-type drone launches per month by late 2025, aiming to coerce Kyiv into political concessions. This massive expansion of firepower has dramatically increased reported damage across Ukrainian territory, concentrating heavily on frontline regions, logistical nodes, and critical energy infrastructure.
To achieve these strategic goals, Moscow employs a punishment strategy that exploits geography to weaken Ukraine's economic endurance, disrupt logistics, and strain its air defense capabilities. By targeting major urban centers and power grids, particularly during winter, the Kremlin seeks to maximize civilian hardship and disrupt the physical systems sustaining the war effort. Ultimately, this sustained bombardment aims to exhaust domestic resources and degrade political resolve, forcing Kyiv to accept Moscow's primary negotiation positions, including neutrality, NATO abandonment, and the surrender of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia alongside other broader political concessions.
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