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7 July 2025

Russia Could Now Win the War Against Ukraine

Alexander Motyl

-This “China-first” view, championed by officials like Undersecretary of Defense Elbridge Colby, dangerously underestimates the immediate threat posed by a declining but destabilizing Russia. As argued by Michael Carpenter in Foreign Affairs, a Ukrainian victory is still possible with decisive Western aid.

Russian T-90M Tank. Image Credit: Creative Commons.

-By pausing support, the US not only risks a Russian victory but also signals a lack of resolve that could embolden China to act against Taiwan.
America’s Giant Ukraine Mistake

The Trump administration may have just committed a profoundly self-destructive, perhaps even reckless, foreign policy mistake.

According to Politico, “The Pentagon has halted shipments of some air defense missiles and other precision munitions to Ukraine due to worries that U.S. weapons stockpiles have fallen too low.”

The Undersecretary of Defense for Policy, Elbridge Colby, reviewed the Pentagon’s munitions stockpiles and concluded that its arsenal of critical weaponry was getting thin.

“This decision was made to put America’s interests first following a review of our nation’s military support and assistance to other countries across the globe,” a White House spokeswoman said. “The strength of the United States Armed Forces remains unquestioned — just ask Iran.”

Why Now?


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