Nuclear weapons have re-emerged as central to great power politics, ending the post-Cold War era's diminished focus. Russia has threatened nuclear use in Ukraine and tested new delivery systems. China rapidly expanded its nuclear arsenal, diversified delivery systems, and potentially conducted a low-yield nuclear test in June 2020.
North Korea's nuclear-capable missiles improved. In May 2025, Pakistan's prime minister convened the National Command Authority during a crisis with India. The United States and Israel conducted military strikes on Iranian nuclear sites in June 2025 and February 2026 to destroy Iran's nuclear program. These developments create the most complex strategic environment for the United States since nuclear weapons' advent, with simultaneous challenges across geographies. The February 2026 expiration of the New START Treaty removes constraints on US and Russian strategic forces, raising urgent questions about force sizing, modernization, and arms control. Policymakers must balance deterrence with fiscal realities and alliance commitments, considering how offensive/defensive systems, emerging technologies, and advanced missile defense architectures like "Golden Dome" impact stability. Unresolved issues include deterring limited nuclear use, managing regional escalation, and new arms control in a multipolar order.
No comments:
Post a Comment