24 June 2026

Why the US and Israel Diverged on Iran Peace

The National Interest  |  Leon Hadar

The 2025-2026 Iran War's conclusion mirrors the 1973 Yom Kippur War, revealing a consistent pattern in the US-Israel "special relationship" where Washington imposes ceasefires when its strategic objectives are met, often before Israel achieves its maximalist goals. In 1973, the Nixon administration, through Henry Kissinger, prevented Egypt's total defeat, leveraging Israel's battlefield success for diplomatic gains like the Camp David Accords, despite Israeli reluctance due to dependency on US resupply.

Similarly, in 2025, after joint US-Israeli airstrikes degraded Iran's nuclear facilities, President Trump announced a ceasefire prematurely from Jerusalem's perspective. This pattern repeated in 2026, with Pakistani mediation, following the targeted killing of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. The US prioritizes a chastened Iran capable of future agreements and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, avoiding regional chaos. This divergence stems from America's global commitments versus Israel's existential stakes, confirming US support is indispensable but bounded, often postponing underlying conflicts.

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