Paul B. Stares
Even as peace in Ukraine remains uncertain, U.S. and European policymakers should begin preparing for the postwar challenges a settlement will likely bring. Most analysts agree that any agreement will not diminish Russia’s threat to the continent—Moscow will continue testing European and transatlantic cohesion through hybrid attacks and possible military incursions, deepening preexisting divisions. To promote greater alliance cohesion and reduce the risk of renewed conflict, NATO, the European Union, and the Group of Seven should launch comprehensive reviews of their long-term strategies toward Russia to bolster deterrence and restore stability to Europe. It is better to plan for most likely postwar challenges now than to hope for the best when the moment arrives.
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