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24 March 2026

In the Strait of Hormuz, Iran unleashes a plot against the West years in the making

Lucia Stein, Emily Clark and Mark Doman

When Donald Trump bombed Iran's nuclear facilities last year, he set in motion a plan the "thinkers" inside the Iranian regime had long been devising. It is now in play and it all comes down to a stretch of water that, at its narrowest point, is little more than 30 kilometres wide. The Strait of Hormuz connects many of the Middle East's oil and commodity producers to the rest of the world.

For Persian Gulf nations, their wares must make their way to the Arabian Sea via the narrow stretch of water. And when Israel and the United States launched their military operation against the regime last month, Iran moved on it. For decades, analysts and war gamers had warned that the closure of this passageway would be a likely consequence of a larger conflict with Iran.

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