20 July 2026

Performance Is Not Endurance: Sustaining Combat Power in Contested Operations

CIMSEC  |  Al Collins, Kevin Eyer

The United States Navy faces critical endurance and logistical vulnerabilities that threaten its ability to sustain combat power during a protracted conflict against China in the Indo-Pacific. While recent operations in the Red Sea demonstrated high tactical proficiency, they occurred under uncontested logistics conditions that do not reflect a high-end Pacific war.

China Is Sabotaging the World That Enables Its Rise: Beijing’s Risky Bet Against the West

Foreign Affairs | Enrico Fardella, Sergey Radchenko

The United States and the European Union are implementing severe protectionist countermeasures against Chinese industrial overcapacity and aggressive export strategies. Beijing's state-subsidised manufacturing surplus threatens Western domestic industries, forcing Brussels and Washington to deploy stringent tariff barriers and investment screening mechanisms to protect their critical domestic supply chains and industrial bases.

The Coming Clash Between China and Europe: Why a Trade War Can’t Be Avoided

Foreign Affairs | Thorsten Benner

The EU is preparing defensive trade measures to counter a massive surge of heavily subsidized Chinese industrial exports that threatens to devastate Europe's core manufacturing sectors. This impending economic shock, driven by China's state-backed overcapacity and undervalued currency, risks destroying hundreds of thousands of advanced industrial jobs across the continent.

What China Thinks It Can Gain From a Disordered World: A Conversation With Oriana Skylar Mastro

Foreign Affairs  |  Dan Kurtz-Phelan

Chinese leader Xi Jinping is leveraging global geopolitical volatility to advance Beijing's long-term ambition of displacing United States dominance in the Indo-Pacific region. This strategy exploits ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East to stretch American military resources thin while cementing strategic partnerships with Russia and North Korea.

Iran’s strikes show its priority is flexing muscle on Hormuz, not dealing with Trump

Times of Israel  |  Lazar Berman

Iran has escalated regional tensions by declaring the Strait of Hormuz closed and launching missile and drone strikes against 85 US military sites in Bahrain and Kuwait. This aggressive posture directly risks dismantling a recently signed June memorandum of understanding with the United States, which had previously halted active military campaigns.

The Lost Art of Coercion

Foreign Affairs  |  Reid Pauly, Matthew Cebul

U.S. President Donald Trump has deployed punitive economic and military threats against at least 20 nations during his second presidential term to coerce immediate concessions on trade, migration, and defense spending. This aggressive unilateral pressure campaign seeks to rapidly force diplomatic resolutions in Ukraine and the Gaza Strip while permanently blocking Iran's nuclear weapons program.

New York’s Ban on the Future

The Free Press  |  Josh Wolfe

New York Governor Kathy Hochul signed an executive order on July 15, 2026, imposing a moratorium on new data centers across the state. This policy decision threatens to stifle domestic artificial intelligence development, harm local consumers, and benefit foreign adversaries by halting critical technological infrastructure growth. The administration defended the pause as a grid protection measure.

Iran targets military bases as US launches wave of strikes

BBC  |  Ella Kipling

Tehran launched retaliatory drone and missile strikes against United States military bases in Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain following a six-hour wave of American airstrikes targeting Iranian command centres and air defence sites. This rapid escalation threatens to collapse a fragile bilateral memorandum of understanding signed just last month to end the war.

4 Ways Out of the Iran War

19FortyFive | James Holmes

The United States military has resumed airstrikes against Iranian coastal targets in July 2026 to counter renewed Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps missile and drone attacks on merchant shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. This escalation follows the collapse of the bilateral ceasefire, forcing Washington to evaluate its strategic options to secure the vital maritime corridor.

When Israel lost Democratic voters, in 3 charts

MSN | Andrew Prokop

Democratic Party voters in the United States have undergone a historic realignment in their Middle East sympathies, with support for Palestinians officially surpassing support for Israelis for the first time in modern polling history. This shift reflects deep generational and ideological divides that have steadily widened within the party's base over the last decade.

Intel Officials Predict the Pentagon’s Bill for the Iran War Will Exceed $100 Billion

Wired  |  Hugo Lowell

President Donald Trump has initiated a renewed conflict with Iran through a series of targeted missile strikes, triggering warnings from national security experts regarding the long-term financial and strategic ramifications. United States intelligence officials estimate that the total military cost of the war for the Pentagon will likely exceed $100 billion.

The tragedy of “Westalgia”

European Council on Foreign Relations  |  Mark Leonard

European leaders at the recent NATO summit in Ankara, Turkey, accepted an arbitrary 5% defence spending target to appease US President Donald Trump and secure continued American security guarantees. This sycophantic approach, led by NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, aims to prevent US troop withdrawals and protect Europe from Vladimir Putin’s Russia.

Europe’s fresh focus on deep precision strike

Army Technology | John Hill

Twelve NATO allies committed to invest $50bn over ten years at the Ankara Summit to accelerate European deep precision strike capabilities and counter Russian regional threats. This UK-led initiative aims to rapidly build, test, and deploy long-range weapons to disrupt adversary infrastructure far beyond frontline combat zones, addressing a critical capability gap across the continent.

When Perception Becomes the Battlefield

Small Wars Journal | Mark Ginsberg

Israel’s operational experience as a live laboratory for artificial intelligence-enabled cognitive warfare since October 2023 reveals critical vulnerabilities in Western defense doctrines. During the June 2025 war, Iranian disinformation campaigns leveraged cheap, automated recontextualization of authentic footage to execute industrial-scale psychological attacks, exposing severe structural gaps in multilingual monitoring and rapid verification capabilities.

Ukraine’s Asymmetric Drone Blitz in the Sea of Azov: Part I — Bottling Up the Volga-Don Canal

Glen Howard's Substack  |  Glen Howard

Ukraine’s Unmanned Systems Forces launched a massive aerial drone offensive, dubbed Operation MoLoChKa, striking 116 Russian commercial and logistical vessels in the Sea of Azov and Black Sea within nine days. This high-tempo campaign has successfully paralyzed Russian maritime supply lines and forced the suspension of civilian shipping through the Kerch Strait.

The Sahel is on Fire. The West is Watching from Afar.

RealClearWorld  |  Megan Dunlop

Jama'at Nusrat al-Islam wal Muslimeen (JNIM) and Islamic State militants are rapidly expanding southward from Mali toward the Gulf of Guinea coastline. This security crisis intensified after France ended Operation Barkhane in August 2022, dismantling the primary Western counterterrorism architecture and leaving a vacuum that threatens coastal West African states.

Winning the Peace, One Cell at a Time

Small Wars Journal | William Lovukenya, Thokozani Chazema, Matt Dearing

The Allied Democratic Forces and Ansar al-Sunna Wa-Jama’a are out-governing formal state authorities across the Swahili Arc by establishing parallel systems of justice, taxation, and security. These resilient insurgent groups exploit porous borders and governance vacuums to embed themselves within marginalized communities, converting state weakness into local legitimacy across East Africa.

Europe’s heat wave set records for all-time highs

Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists  |  Tik Root

Western Europe recorded its hottest June ever in 2026, with average temperatures reaching 20.74 degrees Celsius (69 degrees Fahrenheit) and triggering severe power disruptions, school closures, and thousands of deaths. This unprecedented heatwave, which also drove record-high ocean temperatures, has severely strained regional infrastructure and escalated wildfire risks across Spain and southern France.

Why the United Nations Still Matters in a Time of War

Small Wars Journal | Antoine Andary

The United Nations maintains critical diplomatic, legal, and operational channels to manage escalation, negotiate humanitarian access, and pursue ceasefires during active global conflicts. Even when military force dominates international relations, this multilateral framework prevents war from becoming the normalized language of geopolitics by forcing state actors to justify their actions under shared international rules.

AI can now power every stage of a cyberattack

Defense One | David DiMolfetta

Artificial intelligence systems have advanced from assisting hackers with isolated tasks to powering every stage of active cyberattacks, significantly accelerating the pace and scale of global digital intrusions. According to a report by Check Point, threat actors are utilizing commercial and open-source models to generate commands, identify vulnerabilities, and execute rapid exploits.

How a Gang of Thieves Pulled Off a Multimillion-Dollar Data Center Heist

The New York Times  |  Nathaniel Rich

Heistman Terry Ellis and a professional criminal crew targeted a Verizon-operated data center in King's Cross, London, to steal approximately 80 servers containing incriminating financial records. Commissioned by American bankers seeking to destroy evidence of regulatory violations, the high-stakes operation required bypassing advanced physical security systems to retrieve intact digital data.

The Death of History

The Free Press  |  Niall Ferguson, John-Clark Levin

Artificial intelligence algorithms and digital platforms are systematically accelerating the spread of Holocaust denial and Nazi revisionism across modern media ecosystems, rendering traditional historical truth-seeking tools ineffective against viral, spectacle-driven online narratives. This rapid technological shift allows extremist actors to bypass traditional editorial gatekeepers and normalize genocidal rhetoric among younger demographics.

New ‘Drone Czar’ Must Prioritize Warfighters

National Defense Magazine | Tabitha Reeves

Secretary of War Pete Hegseth has established a new Pentagon portfolio manager for unmanned offensive and defensive systems to streamline drone procurement and accelerate autonomous capabilities. This centralized authority will oversee acquisitions, budgeting, and technical standards for small to medium aerial drones, uncrewed ground and maritime systems, and counter-drone technologies.

Why Military Theory Still Matters

Small Wars Journal | Andrea Rossini

Carl von Clausewitz, Giulio Douhet, Mao Zedong, and Alfred Thayer Mahan provide the essential, complementary intellectual frameworks required for Western military professionals to navigate modern multi-domain warfare. Recent precision strikes during Operation Midnight Hammer and Operation Epic Fury against Iran demonstrate how technological innovation must be balanced with enduring strategic theory to compel adversary decisions.

Air Superiority Over Battlefields Demands Both Standoff and Penetrating Airpower

Real Clear Defense | JV Venable

The United States Air Force must field a balanced mix of standoff munitions and penetrating stealth platforms to secure air superiority against sophisticated near-peer adversaries. Relying solely on long-range standoff missiles is insufficient to defeat mobile targets, deeply buried command nodes, and dense, integrated air defense systems (IADS) in contested environments.