The Atlantic | Ryan Hass
China is strategically biding its time, positioning itself to assume global leadership as the United States is perceived to decline. Beijing views America as "declining but dangerous," a late-stage power prone to aggressive actions, and has historically theorized about its internal fragilities, as exemplified by Wang Huning's 1990s observations on U.S. social fragmentation and political dysfunction. Rather than directly confronting the U.S. or overtly capitalizing on current American internal divisions and foreign conflicts, such as the war in the Persian Gulf, China offers only indirect support to partners like Iran. This restraint is not a sign of weakness but a deliberate long-game strategy to allow China's dominance to emerge organically as a fact on the ground, rather than through a climactic victory. China's approach underscores a patient, calculated geopolitical maneuver to fill a perceived future leadership vacuum.
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