ERIC EDELMAN is a Counselor at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. He served as U.S. Ambassador to Finland from 1998 to 2001, as U.S. Ambassador to Turkey from 2003 to 2005, and as U.S. Undersecretary of Defense for Policy from 2005 to 2009.
There are many paths to regime change in Iran. In 2020, two of us (Edelman and Takeyh) wrote an essay in Foreign Affairs in which we outlined a way to topple the Islamic Republic. At that time, we assumed that the use of force was off the table and that outside powers could only gradually erode the regime’s sources of strength.
Israel’s attack on Iran this month has introduced a new and volatile element into the mix, but the underlying logic remains the same. In all cases of regime change, the indispensable preconditions for success are that the government
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