14 April 2026

The Feasibility Trap

SAMI MAHROUM

It seems increasingly obvious that the behavior of each actor in the Iran war follows directly from what its technology allows it to do. The result is a dynamic in which military decisions are driven less by strategic calculation than by the operational possibilities created by intelligence and innovation.

DUBAI – The US-Israeli war with Iran is a striking illustration of an all-too-common phenomenon: feasibility bias. The tendency to favor actions primarily because they are technically or operationally possible, rather than because they are strategically optimal, can lead to decidedly suboptimal outcomes.

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