13 June 2026

American AI Companies Can’t Get Enough Chips

Center for a New American Security | James Sanders, Janet Egan and Rory Madigan

In 2026, artificial intelligence (AI) chip production has become a binding constraint on the pace of the AI compute buildout, with demand for computing power to train and deploy advanced AI models growing exponentially and outpacing manufacturing capacity. This scarcity elevates AI chips to a strategic resource for the United States, necessitating policy adjustments.

Congress should significantly increase funding for the National AI Research Resource to ensure public innovation access, as rising chip costs risk pricing out researchers. Every chip exported to competing countries like China reduces availability for U.S. companies and democratic allies, expanding compute accessible to the Chinese Communist Party for uses potentially against American interests. Aggressively exporting AI chips to allies and partners remains critical for U.S. AI leadership and data center capacity. Chip shortages also underscore the urgency of countering smuggling through location verification and stronger controls on high-bandwidth memory. Initiatives like Pax Silica are crucial for coordinating allied efforts and building resilient semiconductor supply chains, addressing manufacturers' reluctance to expand due to long lead times, high capital costs, and past boom-and-bust cycles.

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