30 June 2026

Who Is Winning Africa’s Drone Wars? Ukraine Isn’t the Only Battlefield Shaping Autonomous Warfare

Foreign Affairs | Nate Allen, Rida Lyammouri

On June 22, 2025, fiber-optic first-person-view drones operated by the Azawad Liberation Front (FLA), a Tuareg rebel group, struck a convoy of Russian Africa Corps and Malian armed forces vehicles in northern Mali, demonstrating how rebel groups with limited resources are deploying cutting-edge drone technology. This incident highlights a significant shift in Africa's drone warfare landscape, where the state's traditional air dominance is eroding as nonstate actors acquire and effectively deploy inexpensive, widely available uncrewed systems.

While African states initially gained military advantages using foreign-supplied drones in conflicts like Libya and Ethiopia, their current reliance on external suppliers and focus on airpower over ground forces has coincided with an expansion of insurgent control across the Sahel, Lake Chad Basin, and Somalia. Insurgents have adapted by using evasion tactics, exploiting civilian casualties to recruit, and increasingly deploying their own drones for intelligence and attacks. African governments must develop indigenous drone capabilities tailored to irregular warfare, integrate them with ground forces, and resist over-reliance on foreign technology to regain control and sovereignty.

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