26 September 2026

China Built a Grid. America Built a Queue.

National Interest | Fyodor Dmitrenko

Washington treats the power grid as an artificial-intelligence extension cord, while Beijing treats it as the operating system of its entire economy. In the largest American data-center market, interconnection wait times now run five to seven years, and local resistance has blocked or delayed $162 billion of projects through early 2025.

Conversely, China built a formidable network over two decades, driven by ultra-high-voltage direct-current lines that move gigawatts across thousands of kilometers. This infrastructure advantage compounds as industrial and humanoid robotics emerge as a second major power demand, projected to hit 363 terawatt-hours a year by 2035. Addressing this crisis requires treating interstate transmission as national infrastructure, planning for aggregate load rather than individual projects, and rebuilding the domestic hardware manufacturing base before future energy strains paralyze the economy.

Comment

The structural divergence in transmission development reflects fundamentally different tolerances for local friction between central planning and federalized markets. Ultra-high-voltage direct-current corridors like the Xinjiang-to-Anhui line bypass decentralized right-of-way disputes that routinely stall American regional projects within PJM and local jurisdictions. This disparity dictates the velocity at which emerging energy-intensive technologies transition from blueprint to active baseload integration. Consequently, the bottleneck in Western artificial intelligence and robotics scalability is less about chip fabrication than the absence of backstop siting authority for high-capacity transmission lines.

Strategic Question for Discussion
If federal backstop siting authority is established for interstate transmission corridors, does the American regulatory framework possess the institutional capacity to execute multi-decade grid planning without triggering insurmountable state-level legal challenges?
The available evidence points toward persistent friction between federal mandates and state-level utility commissions. Even with expanded statutory powers, localized opposition to high-voltage corridors will likely continue to delay project timelines far beyond Beijing's execution window.
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