A 60-day ceasefire agreement between Iran and the United States has been reached, but it does not end the ongoing war, instead setting the stage for negotiations on major issues. These talks will be profoundly shaped by internal political divisions within the United States, Israel, and Iran. In the U.S., President Donald Trump faces substantial disagreement over the war's economic cost and justification, with public pressure mounting.
Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, having invaded Lebanon in October 2024 to destroy Hezbollah, refuses to accept the ceasefire's coverage of Lebanon, risking a significant breach with the U.S. and facing intense domestic opposition. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is also divided between factions willing to negotiate and those viewing it as a betrayal, amidst widespread anti-government hostility. The ability of all three combatant nations to continue the war is limited by these deep internal political divides, which are reshaping geopolitical considerations and making the negotiation process complex and unpredictable.
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