10 August 2015

Iran Isn’t Nazi Germany

AUG 6, 2015

Mike Huckabee’s sin was being too vivid.
Last week, after the Republican presidential hopeful said that by signing the Iran nuclear deal, President Barack Obama “would take the Israelis and basically march them to the door of the oven,” a parade of organizations and politiciansaccused him of inflammatory language and bad taste. But in both the United States and Israel, Huckabee’s core assumption—that the Iranian government is genocidally anti-Semitic—is mainstream. In January, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that “The ayatollahs in Iran, they deny the Holocaust while planning another genocide against our people.” Last month, Fox News host Sean Hannity called the Iran deal “the equivalent of giving Adolf Hitler weapons of mass destruction.” The fact that a nuclear attack on Israel would also kill Palestinians, argued Texas Senator Ted Cruz recently, would not deter Tehran because “they would view the murder of those Palestinians” as “perfectly acceptable collateral damage to annihilating millions of Jews.”

Far from being marginal or extreme, Huckabee’s claim—that Iranian leaders seek another Holocaust—sits at the emotional core of the debate over the nuclear accord with Tehran. But the closer you look, the weaker that claim is.

Artificial intelligence decodes Islamic State strategy

By Chris BaraniukTechnology reporter
6 August 2015 
Artificial intelligence has been used to gain insights into the tactics of IS

Researchers in the US have used artificial intelligence to better understand the military strategy of Islamic State extremists.

Analysis established a causal link between air strikes and roadside bomb attacks as well as a connection with the jihadists' use of military tactics.

The algorithmic system analysed 2,200 recorded incidents of IS activity from the second half of 2014.

A paper on the findings will be presented at a conference next week.

One feature they noticed was spikes in the use of improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
Shifting strategies

Paulo Shakarian at Arizona State University, one of the co-authors of the paper and a former US army officer who served in Iraq in 2006, told the BBC: "When they experience a lot of air strikes against them they shift away from a large infantry-style operation and use IEDs."

Saudi Arabia may go broke before the US oil industry buckles

07 August 2015

It is too late for OPEC to stop the shale revolution. The cartel faces the prospect of surging US output whenever oil prices rise

If the oil futures market is correct, Saudi Arabia will start running into trouble within two years. It will be in existential crisis by the end of the decade.

The contract price of US crude oil for delivery in December 2020 is currently $62.05, implying a drastic change in the economic landscape for the Middle East and the petro-rentier states.

The Saudis took a huge gamble last November when they stopped supporting prices and opted instead to flood the market and drive out rivals, boosting their own output to 10.6m barrels a day (b/d) into the teeth of the downturn.

Bank of America says OPEC is now "effectively dissolved". The cartel might as well shut down its offices in Vienna to save money.

ISIS Continuing to Grow in the Middle East, North Africa and South/Central Asia

August 7, 2015

ISIS in the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia: July 2015

Institute for the Study of War

Reports that the U.S. is considering establishing forward bases to counter ISIS’s affiliates in Libya and Afghanistan reflect the increasing regional capability and momentum of the group in the Near Abroad. ISIS likely will gain new support in Afghanistan and possibly globally due to the death of the Taliban’s leader, Mullah Omar. ISIS is also expanding operations in Yemen, Libya, and Egypt, which may provoke direct conflict between ISIS and al Qaeda. ISIS likely will intensify regional operations, possibly within Turkey, as it faces pressure within Syria and Iraq from Turkey and other anti-ISIS forces. ISIS will also likely attempt to open other border crossings between ISIS’s Interior and Near Abroad positions.

3 U.S. Defeats: Vietnam, Iraq and Now Iran

AUG. 7, 2015


The purpose of war, military or economic, is to get your enemy to do something it would rather not do. Over the past several years the United States and other Western powers have engaged in an economic, clandestine and political war against Iran to force it to give up its nuclear program.

Over the course of this siege, American policy makers have been very explicit about their goals. Foremost, to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear power. Second, as John Kerry has said, to force it to dismantle a large part of its nuclear infrastructure. Third, to take away its power to enrich uranium.

Fourth, as President Obama has said, to close the Fordo enrichment facility. Fifth, as the chief American negotiator, Wendy Sherman, recently testified, to force Iran to come clean on all past nuclear activities by the Iranian military. Sixth, to shut down Iran’s ballistic missile program. Seventh, to have “anywhere, anytime 24/7” access to any nuclear facilities Iran retains. Eighth, as Kerry put it, to not phase down sanctions until after Iran ends its nuclear bomb-making capabilities.

Russian Regions Are Running Out of Money

August 7, 2015

The potential for regional instability will grow as Russia's economic crisis drags on.
Many of Russia's regional governments will default unless the Kremlin steps in.
Russia's focus will shift inward as its economy worsens, limiting its bandwidth to act abroad. Analysis

Russia has entered its second recession in six years. The effects of the country's economic downturn have begun to trickle down from the federal level, spreading to Russia's regions, cities and people. The federal government has long relied on the regional and municipal governments to carry their own burdens, and many are teetering on the verge of bankruptcy or collapse as Moscow siphons off a growing share of their funds. The Russian people are also beginning to feel the economic pressure more acutely as an increasing number of citizens fall under the poverty line and watch their savings dry up.

GOP Presidential Debate: Rand Paul in Combat Mode

August 7, 2015

Presidential primary debates are supposed to be placid affairs. Somebody forgot to notify Rand Paul.

The Kentucky senator was in combat mode literally from the first minute of Thursday’s Republican candidates forum, when he interrupted Donald Trump to accuse him of gaming his party affiliation. And that was just an appetizer to the volcanic clash between Paul and New Jersey governor Chris Christie over the NSA’s metadata collection. “Get a warrant!” Paul shouted, before taunting Christie for his post–Hurricane Sandy embrace of President Obama.

Paul’s truculence seemed odd when juxtaposed with his answers later in the debate, which were generally calm and thoughtful. So why the initial pugnacity? Why did Paul, usually a laconic and rumpled presence, emerge as the debate’s attack dog?

For the answer, we need to review what’s happened to Paul over the past couple months. To say he’s had a rough ride is to commit an understatement akin to observing that Donald Trump may have overstepped on Thursday. Once paraded across the pages of Politico as the Republican frontrunner, Paul’s poll numbers have tumbled into single-digit territory. It isn’t game over—Marco Rubio, a more mainstream candidate than Paul, is stuck in a similar rut—but it does create a sense of urgency. How can Paul lure back tea party voters with Donald Trump fulgurating at the center of the conservative solar system?

Here Comes Carly Fiorina: Breaking Down the Fox News GOP Debates

August 7, 2015

Presidential debates are like Rorschach tests. What people see tends to reflect what’s going on in their minds more than what’s happening on stage, something to keep in mind when reading most post-debate analyses.

How else to interpret confident assertions that Jeb Bush, Scott Walker or Ted Cruz won the first Republican presidential debate when each of them disappeared for long stretches of time? Did any of them say anything as memorable as Ben Carson’s closing statement, when after looking lost for most of the evening he reminded the audience that he was actually the smartest person on the dais?

But these events aren’t entirely subjective because they inevitably produce big moments about which there is widespread agreement. So let’s get the consensus views of the Republican debate(s) out of the way first.

Carly Fiorina was the star of the first debate, really more of a candidate forum or joint press conference, for the seven Republicans who are prominent enough to be considered major candidates but who weren’t polling well enough to be included among the top ten.

Battle of the Elephants: Making Sense of the Fox News GOP Debates

August 7, 2015

The most revealing moment in the Fox News Republican presidential debate last night was when Donald Trump reacted to loaded questions and oppositional comments about his provocative statements regarding illegal immigration. For a moment the New York real estate mogul looked as if he might actually be feeling some slight quiver of defensiveness over his suggestion that Mexico was fostering this flow of its citizens to America in order to get rid of some of its most undesirable people. Clearly, he didn’t have an answer when Fox’s Chris Wallace asked him to back up his allegation with some hard evidence.

But then the scowl left his face and he declared in a tone of defiance and triumph: “We wouldn’t be talking about this if it weren’t for me.”

This reflected more than just Trump’s absolute conviction that he is utterly correct in everything he thinks or says. The fact is, Trump had inserted the immigration issue into the campaign in a way that most Republicans have been trying to avoid. In doing so, he touched a nerve in the American body politic and forced the issue onto the stage.

Trump Rocks Cleveland GOP Debates

August 7, 2015
http://nationalinterest.org/feature/trump-rocks-cleveland-gop-debate-13522

Ronald Reagan would not have been pleased. His eleventh commandment—“thou shalt not speak ill of any fellow Republican”—was wantonly flouted last night in Cleveland as ten candidates vied with each other to claim leadership of the GOP.

There was libertarian senator Rand Paul laying into Chris Christie for supporting violating American freedoms by espousing big government when it comes to national-security surveillance and remonstrating that he had given President Obama a“big hug” right on the eve of the 2012 election, something that a good number of Republicans continue to hold against the New Jersey governor. Christie punched back by, essentially, playing the patriot card—accusing Paul of being a dangerous blowhard when it comes to protecting innocent Americans from the machinations of foreign terrorists intent on attacking the homeland.

Russia Creates Powerful New Military Branch to Counter NATO

August 07, 2015

Russia has created a new military branch, the Aerospace Forces, by merging the Russian Air Force with the Russian Aerospace Defense Forces, TASS reports. The $60 billion reorganization appears to be a direct response to the perceived increased risk of NATO air and missile attacks on Russian soil — in particular, the United States military’s Global Strike program has the Kremlin worried.

The new service branch, officially called the Aerospace Forces of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, became operational on August 1, according to Russian Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu.

“On August 1, the Russian president signed decree No. 394 on appointing the Colonel-General [Viktor Bondarev] as the commander-in-chief of the Aerospace Forces, Lieutenant-General [Pavel] Kurachenko as chief of the Main Staff and first deputy commander-in-chief of the Aerospace Forces, Lieutenant-General [Alexander] Golovko as deputy commander-in-chief of the Aerospace Forces and commander of the Space Forces,” Shoigu said.

Boeing and DARPA Aim for Mach 10



August 7, 2015

Boeing’s Phantom Works has scored a $6.6-million contract to continue working on a hypersonic drone aircraft as part of a program overseen by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, the Pentagon’s fringe-science wing.

The XS-1 — short for “Experimental Spaceplane One” — is meant to test out a new way of quickly and cheaply launching satellites into low orbit. That requires the space plane to fly at hypersonic speeds up to Mach 10, essentially acting as the first stage of a rocket, lending velocity to a single-stage rocket carrying a small satellite.


The military hopes that using a hypersonic plane to help boost spacecraft into orbit will be cheaper and easier than traditional rocket launches. “Quick, affordable and routine access to space is increasingly critical for both national and economic security,” DARPA stated in a press release.

DARPA wants to test an XS-1 prototype no later than 2019. It’s actually possible that other companies could end up getting military funds to build prototypes. In the summer of 2014 DARPA gave Boeing, Northrop Grumman and Masten Space Systems $4 million apiece to do “phase one” design work.

Cyberattacks as Significant as Traditional Threats, Says Battleship Manufacturer


8/6/15 

Members of the British Royal Navy frigate HMS Westminster spray water with a hose to clean the ship after arriving at a port in Gibraltar August 19, 2013. The wars of the future may not be fought on the high seas but behind computer screens, according to cyberwarfare experts.Jon Nazca/Reuters

Warfare is increasingly being fought from behind computer screens rather than on the battlefield, forcing weapons manufacturers to consider the myriad of threats posed by cyberattacks. Now, the prospective manufacturer of the Royal Navy's next generation of warships has warned that cyberattacks pose a very real threat to the vessels.

Cyberattacks pose "an equally important threat to the more traditional threats," such as missiles and torpedoes, according to Geoff Searle, programme director at BAE Systems, the company which is currently negotiating with the Ministry of Defence to manufacture their new warships.

‘Drug Free’ ASEAN by 2015?


They called it “Drug-Free ASEAN by 2015.” It was proclaimed many times by ASEAN leaders: We would be ushered into a miraculous new era of the only region in the world where the scourge of narcotics had been banished.

By setting this 2015 deadline for the elimination of drugs, ASEAN leaders seemed to believe that the “war on drugs” in Southeast Asia could mysteriously triumph through an orthodox mix of zealous eradication, enhanced crackdowns on drug trafficking, and ruthless law enforcement

Now that we are well into 2015, we can consider the reality. Thailand’s prisons are bursting at the seams thanks to harsh sentences for minor drug offences. Meanwhile, Indonesia has carried out a string of executions, and yet the flow of methamphetamines trafficked in the region has almost quadrupled since 2008.

Fergana: Can’t We All Just Get Along?

August 08, 2015

Some Central Asia links to head into the weekend:
Earlier this week, Kyrgyz and Tajiks clashed along the border in the Fergana Valley. The events themselves may seem unremarkable, just another episode in a on ongoing string of incidents. But these small events have regional watchers worried because the causes–an undelimited stretch of border, growing populations, and competition for limited water resources and fertile land–are not going to settle themselves. Solving the Fergana Valley’s jigsaw puzzle requires political will absent in Bishkek, Dushanbe, and Tashkent.

Elena Kosolapova, writing for Trend, argues this week that some solutions used elsewhere to alleviate these tensions–such as relocating villages or fighting it out–will never work in the Fergana Valley, one of the most densely-populated areas in the region. Relocation would require moving thousands of people from their ancestral homes. Kosolapova also notes that such an exercise would be extremely expensive and Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan are two of the region’s poorest states.

US Army seeks Stinger-based defence against cruise missiles

Gareth Jennings
05 August 2015

A Lithuanian dual-mount Stinger launcher team seen during in-country training. The US Army is looking to use the Stinger as the basis for a new cruise missile defence system. 

The US Army issued a request for information (RfI) for a Raytheon FIM-92 Stinger-based air defence system to counter cruise missiles on 4 August.

The RfI, which was posted on the Federal Business Opportunities website, calls for sources with the capability to provide engineering services in support of the Stinger missile in relation to the development of the Cruise Missile Defense Systems (CMDS) for both United States and Foreign Military Sales (FMS) customers.

As highlighted in the RfI, the Stinger is a short-ranged fire-and-forget shoulder-launched man-portable air defence system (MANPADS) designed to provide point-defence for ground forces against attack or observation by low-flying unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), helicopters, and fixed-wing threats out to 4.5 km.

The Radio Broadcast That Ended World War II

AUG 7, 2015
Seventy years ago, on the morning of August 6, 1945, a B-29 Superfortress named Enola Gay dropped an atomic bomb on Hiroshima. A short time later, other B-29s began dropping leaflets on Tokyo. “Because your military leaders have rejected the 13-part surrender declaration,” the leaflets said, “we have employed our atomic bomb. ... Before we use this bomb again and again to destroy every resource of the military by which they are prolonging this useless war, petition the emperor now to end the war.”

There was no way that Japanese civilians could petition Emperor Hirohito to accept the terms of the July 26 Potsdam Declaration outlining the Allies’ surrender demands—among them the complete disarmament of Japanese forces and the elimination “for all time the authority and influence of those who have deceived and misled the people of Japan into embarking on world conquest.” But the leaflets reflected reality: Only the emperor could end the war. To do that, though, he would have to defy his military leaders, knowing that his call for peace would almost certainly inspire a military coup.

5 weapons that don’t need a human to pull the trigger

BY ALEXANDRA HALL 
 August 6, 2015

The Phalanx close-in weapons system, seen here aboard the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer, is essentially a large machine gun that can detect and automatically destroy anything coming its way. U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class Jesse Monford
How close are we to fully automated weaponry? Are there actual killer robots out there right now, ready to fight wars?

Last week a group of high-profile robotics scientists, researchers and entrepreneurs warned in an open letter that without a blanket international treaty outlawing autonomous weapons systems — aka military machines capable of selecting and engaging targets without the need for human intervention — an artificial intelligence arms race could be upon us within years, not decades. In the letter they call for the immediate ban of these weapons. To date, more than 18,000 people have co-signed.

Welcome to Australia's Renewable Energy Wars

August 7, 2015

In the last month, the future of Australia's energy system has emerged as a major battleground for the next Australian election. The Abbott Government made further incursions in its long campaign against renewable energy and in favor of fossil fuels, while Labor opened a new front, backing a renewables-based energy system for Australia by declaring an aspiration to achieve 50% renewable energy by 2030 and to (re-)introduce an emissions trading scheme.

This three-part series provides a global climate, economic and political perspective on Australia's coming renewable energy wars.

In climate change terms, the global perspective is straightforward: Australia ought to be aiming for a zero carbon energy system well before 2050, with the electricity system the first to be fully decarbonized.

The logic is quite simple. To have even a vaguely reasonable chance of restraining average warming to below 2°C (the internationally agreed goal), the world must be at net-zero greenhouse gas emissions before the end of this century (a goal recently endorsed by the G7); the earlier the world gets to net-zero, the lower the climate risks. That means all countries and all sectors ultimately need to move strongly toward zero emissions (or close to zero, if we allow for some negative emissions).

5 Most Lethal Aircraft Carriers of All Time

August 8, 2015

The first true aircraft carriers entered service at the end of World War I, as the Royal Navy converted several of its excess warships into large, floating airfields. During the interwar period, Japan and the United States would make their own conversions, and all three navies would supplement these ships with purpose-built carriers. Within months of the beginning of hostilities in September 1939, the carrier demonstrated its worth in a variety of maritime tasks.

By the end of 1941, carriers would become the world’s dominant capital ship. These are the five most lethal carriers to serve in the world’s navies, selected on the basis of their contribution to critical operations, and on their longevity and resilience.

USS Enterprise

The U.S. Navy supplemented Lexington and Saratoga, the most effective of the interwar battlecruiser conversions, with the purpose-built USS Ranger. Experience with all three ships demonstrated that the next purpose-built class would require a larger hull and flight deck, as well as a heavier anti-aircraft armament. This resulted in USS Yorktown and USS Enterprise, which along with their third sister (USS Hornet) would play a critical role in stopping the Imperial Japanese Navy’s advance in 1942. Capable of cruising at 33 knots, Enterprise displaced around 24,000 tons and could carry up to 90 aircraft.

What Companies Can Learn from Military Teams

AUGUST 06, 2015
https://hbr.org/2015/08/what-companies-can-learn-from-military-teams

When Gen. Stanley McCrystal took charge of the U.S. Joint Special Operations Task Force in 2003, he recognized that traditional tactics of warfare were failing in Iraq. Leading this inter-service team — which included Army Rangers, Navy SEALs, and Delta Force — he needed to find new ways to disrupt Al-Qaeda and get these disparate branches of elite U.S. soldiers to work cohesively. In the new book Team of Teams, McChrystal describes the lessons he learned (and applied) in Iraq and Afghanistan, as well as research and examples from other fields (including sports, aviation, and emergency medicine) on how teams have learned to work more effectively. (The book is co-authored by his colleagues Tantum Collins, David Silverman, and Chris Fussell.)

Since his retirement in 2010 — brought about by intemperate remarks about Obama officials made by McChrystal and his aides in a Rolling Stone article — the former general has taught leadership at Yale University. He’s also founded a consulting firm called CrossLead. I talked to him about what businesses can learn from the military model. Here’s an edited version of our conversation:

Why More Military Spouses Need To Share Their Stories


August 6, 2015

Part of the 21st century's war story belongs to the military spouse. Their stories need to be heard.
I’m a 21st century military spouse. I am a college-educated, working woman who has been supporting my service member’s commitment to our country for more than a decade.

I gave birth in an overseas Navy hospital. I’ve been a solo parent during a six-month deployment. I vote via absentee ballot in presidential elections. I shop at the commissary. I’ve lived on-base in privatized housing. I’ve lived off-base in neighborhoods where our house was the only house with an American flag hanging in front.

Am I a typical military spouse? Maybe.

Or maybe not.

The story of my military spouse experience is one story among the nearly 700,000 military spouses currently carrying a dependent ID card.

How Fiction Can Reveal the Horrors of Future Wars


The fact that he couldn’t feel the drill going into the back of his skull made the noise all the more terrifying.
His eyes darted around the room. He tried to turn his head, but he couldn’t move. A computer display in front of him was all that he could see; the screen showed a surgeon drilling into a shaved skull. A puff of bone dust smoked up from the metal boring through the skull on the screen. Then the screen itself was covered with a fine white powder that wafted in from behind him. His vision blurred as some of the powder fell into his eyes. He tried to blink but couldn’t. Someone outside his field of view squirted a liquid into his eyes and dabbed the corners as the liquid dripped out.

P.W. Singer is Strategist at New America. August Cole is Non Resident Fellow at the Atlantic Council. They are the authors of Ghost Fleet: A Novel of the Next World War.

A second and third time, the drill bored through the skull on the video screen, sending more puffs of bone dust wafting over. He wanted to close his eyes to stop watching, but he couldn’t. After the second squirt of liquid into his eyes, he realized it was because his eyelids were no longer there. He couldn’t do anything, in fact, but watch as the surgeon began to insert thin fiber-optic wires into the three holes in the skull. He knew the wires were filled with over five hundred electrodes, each as thin as a human hair, that would link the interrogator’s computer with the electromagnetic signals of his brain.
The Power of What Ifs

Was Nuclear Weapon Use in Hiroshima Really a Turning Point in World War 2?

August 06, 2015

U.S. President Harry S. Truman’s decision to use nuclear weapons against the civilian populations of Hiroshima and Nagasaki stands as one of the most consequential uses of weaponry in human history, a watershed moment in the twilight days of World War II, and a perennial question of moral and strategic ambiguity. In fact, all contemporary conversations about the dangers of nuclear weapons and their proliferation inevitably evoke their two uses in wartime on August 6 and August 9, 1945.

What is commonly overlooked, however—and I don’t put this forward as an attempt at revising history—is the influence the bombings themselves actually had on Japan’s decision to surrender on August 15. Indeed, the conventional understanding of the use of the bombs is that they shocked the Japanese leadership so much that they could not help but surrender in the face the awesome might of these new weapons. Those who argue in favor of Truman’s decision to use the bomb build off this to note that countless lives—Japanese and Americans—were saved by the fact that Allied forces did not proceed with Operation Downfall, the planned amphibious invasion of Japan, which in some estimates would have cost millions of lives for the Allies and tens of millions for the Japanese.

ANZUS and Asia – Part 2: A ‘Hub’ Far From the Center

By Andrew Davies and Benjamin Schreer
August 08, 2015

The recent SDSC–CSIS report The ANZUS alliance in an ascending Asia makes an interesting argument about the U.S.–Australia alliance becoming a “central hub” for American policy in the Pacific. In part 1, we explained why we aren’t sold on the geographic/military disposition aspect of the argument. But alliances aren’t all about war-fighting, and there’s also political value in having like-minded countries shoulder-to-shoulder in environment-shaping activities and in helping to underwrite a security order that’s to our liking.

Even so, we’d argue that it’s hard to disentangle the politics from the geography. For the U.S. to assure all of the players in the region that it’s prepared to back the established order and protect the interests of its allies and partners, it needs to have a credible military presence. And if, as we argued yesterday, Australia’s geographic role has diminished in wartime due to modern force projection capabilities, its role in the geopolitics of North Asia in peacetime is even less clear.

Why is Indonesia Upgrading Two Naval Bases?

August 08, 2015

The Indonesian Navy (TNI-AL) is upgrading two of the country’s naval bases as part of a broader boost to the country’s maritime capabilities, according to local military sources.

A source from TNI-AL told IHS Jane’s that it will promote two provincial naval bases to the status of district bases – one located on the island of Tarakan near North Kalimantan (Lantamal XIII) and the other in Sorong (Lantamal XIV) in West Papua – probably by the end of 2015. Such upgrades are important within the context of Indonesia’s two-tier naval basing system as they are indicators of shifting priorities and may signal the greater allocation of resources in the future.

The upgrade of Lantamal XIV is believed to be in line with ongoing preparations for the establishment of a third fleet to be called the Central Fleet. As I have noted previously, Indonesia currently has two fleets – a Western Fleet (KOARMABAR) based in Jakarta and an Eastern Fleet (KOARMATIM) based in Surabaya (See: “Indonesia’s Navy Inducts Missile Craft into Western Fleet”). But Indonesian military officials have said they want to create another fleet as they look to increase the country’s maritime capabilities.

Japan History Commission Acknowledges 'Aggression,' Lessons Learned from WW2

August 08, 2015

On August 6, just as Japan mourned the lives lost in Hiroshima in the world’s first atomic bombing and reaffirmed its commitment to a nuclear-free world, the Advisory Panel on the History of the 20th Century and on Japan’s Role and World Order in the 21st Century submitted its report to Prime Minister Shinzo Abe. Commonly referred to as “Kitaoka Commission,” after its deputy chairman Shinichi Kitaoka, the Commission’s considerations and recommendations are said to play a critical role as Abe finalizes his highly anticipated statement to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the end of World War II.

The Commission consists of 16 members. Some of the members, including Kitaoka, who is president of the International University of Japan, are academics. Others are former government officials, non-governmental organization representatives, and journalists. All were selected with the blessing of Abe himself. In particular, Kitaoka, who also chaired another commission that deliberated on the right of collective self-defense-related issues, has been known to have Abe’s confidence.

9 August 2015

Was it an Atomic Bomb?

By Lt Gen Eric A Vas
07 Aug , 2015

On 7 August, Bose was still unaware of what had happened at Hiroshima. In fact, the news of what had happened at Hiroshima was slow even to reach the Japanese Government in Tokyo. There was very little authentic reporting of what had actually taken place due to the chaotic conditions prevailing in Japan.

That same morning, Bose left Singapore to visit the INA Training Centre at Seremban, some miles north of Singapore, in order to resolve a disciplinary problem. He had meant to make a brief visit and return to Singapore and had, therefore, not carried his radio set with him. He found himself being drawn into the affairs of the Centre. The guesthouse at Seremban was restful and he decided to spend a few nights there. He was, therefore, unaware when, on 8 August, Stalin declared war on Japan. The next day the Russians crossed the Manchurian border.

Udhampur attack: Indian media is pushing for militarism instead of dialogue in Kashmir


While the media celebrated a Pakistani militant’s arrest, it completely ignored the killing of a Kashmiri militant by government forces a day later.


On Thursday night, government forces killed a Kashmiri militant who, according to the police, belonged to the banned group Lashkar-e-Taiba, near his hometown of Pulwama in Kashmir Valley. The unstated government policy is to kill a local militant as soon he is spotted. There is apparently no incentive in capturing an armed Kashmiri militant alive.

There will almost certainly be no media discussion around this latest killing, in stark contrast to when a Pakistani gunman was captured after an audacious attack on a Border Security Force convoy in the garrison town of Udhampur on Wednesday.

Why an Indian-Pakistan prisoner exchange law of 1948 is still too relevant to scrap


As Pakistan releases 163 fishermen, including an 11-year-old boy, it becomes evident that prisoner release should not be left to the kindness of politicians

The legislature is spring cleaning, throwing out wonky old laws and making space for the new. Or maybe it’s just going for the governmental minimalism so in vogue now.

The Repealing and Amending (Fourth) Bill, 2015, lists 295 old laws that are headed towards the bin. The list could have been a potted history of Indian government since the mid-19th century, starting with the Excise (Spirits) Act, 1863 (which provided for the levy of excise duty on spirits used exclusively in arts and manufactures or in chemistry) and making its way to the Representation of the People (Amendment and Validation) Act, 2013 (which allowed those in jail to contest polls).