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24 October 2025

Russia’s War in Ukraine Is Starting to Show Cracks

Georgia Gilholy

Key Points and Summary – Russia’s offensive in Ukraine is losing momentum, with new UK intelligence showing territorial gains in September were the slowest of the year.

-This slowdown comes at a staggering cost, as a leaked Russian document suggests over 281,000 casualties in 2025 alone.

-With monthly losses now exceeding the 31,000 new recruits Russia can sign up, the Kremlin is bleeding manpower for minimal progress.

-A grim wounded-to-killed ratio of 1.3-to-1 further highlights poor battlefield medical care, painting a picture of a grinding war of attrition that Moscow is struggling to sustain.

Russian Land Gains Slump as Casualties Soar in Ukraine

Russia’s push across Ukraine looks to be losing momentum.

New intelligence from the United Kingdom shows Moscow’s forces are advancing more slowly than at any time this year, even as the Kremlin suffers enormous casualties for minimal territorial gains.

The British Ministry of Defense said Thursday that Russian troops captured about 250 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory in September, compared with around 465 square kilometers in August.

The slowdown is “highly likely” the result of Moscow redeploying elite airborne divisions from Sumy to the heavily contested regions of Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia.

Still, this conflict remains as bitter as ever. In September, Russia captured the village of Verbove in the Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

This week, Ukraine has called on its citizens to evacuate Kupiansk as Russia has gained several northern areas of the Oblast.

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