The United States and Israel launched a war on Iran in late February, targeting a regime that was then in an unprecedented position of weakness. Tehran faced severe existential economic and environmental crises, diminished defensive capabilities, and significant internal turmoil. This internal unrest stemmed from external scrutiny and a brutal January crackdown on protests, which tragically resulted in the deaths of thousands of its own people.
Despite these profound vulnerabilities, after 40 days of intense warfare and a subsequent two-month period of a shaky cease-fire, the Islamic Republic has remarkably emerged intact and notably emboldened. Crucially, Iran is now armed with a new, potent deterrent: its strategic control over the vital Strait of Hormuz. This newfound leverage appears even more powerful than all the conventional weapons its adversaries managed to damage with airstrikes during the recent hostilities.
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