6 September 2025

Will Reform win? Can Starmer turns things round? Will Reeves survive the budget?

Sam Freedman

Thanks to subscribers for another bumper haul of excellent questions. We’ve decided to split the response in two for mangeability, so my answers are today and Dad’s will be coming on Thursday.

I’ve focused on the most popular and frequently asked questions. Sorry if I didn’t get round to answering yours, there were a lot and this post is already long.

Topics covered include:

Reform’s chances of winning the next election

Whether Starmer is capable of turning things round

Will Rachel Reeves survive the budget?

Predictions for the Welsh elections

What Labour can/should do on small boats

Why Home Secretaries seem to get radicalised by the job

Can government borrow more money (and who do they borrow it from)?

How’s Labour’s housebuilding mission going?

How are the government likely to reform special educational needs?

Would Vance be worse than Trump? Can the USA recover from where it is?

How similar is my style to Dad’s?

My media diet

Voting systems and whether I’ve changed my mind on anything in my book

Why the reaction to Enoch Powell was so different to today’s racism

Government use of X

On the right’s hatred of Blair

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