Mick Ryan
Will America attack Iran this weekend? Or next week?
Update: Well, this question was answered in emphatic style just a couple of hours ago. Israeli and American aircraft and missiles (and probably a few drones too) have commenced what appears to be a large-scale strike campaign against Iran. The questions below - will this be quick or something more protracted (longer than a few days) - remains to be seen.
Will this be a quick intervention or the start of something more protracted?
These are important questions for a couple of reasons. First, the amount of military force that has been deployed into the region around Iran cannot be sustained there forever. Their peak readiness will decline over time. Second, the purpose of such an attack remains unclear, with little strategic communication from the White House about why such an attack is necessary, and why now is the right time. Finally, and perhaps more importantly, might an attack on Iran result in a more extensive and prolonged conflict than expected?
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