Council on Foreign Relations | Michael Froman
The upcoming summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping aims for stability rather than resolving fundamental bilateral issues, reflecting a pragmatic approach focused on avoiding direct conflict. Expected outcomes include commercial deals, such as U.S. commodity and aircraft purchases, and potentially the establishment of a “Board of Trade” to institutionalize managed trade and mitigate episodic tensions. However, this strategy is unlikely to address China's mercantilist economic model, its global trade imbalances, its designs on Taiwan, its rapid nuclear arsenal expansion, the lack of AI guardrails, or its continued support for U.S. adversaries like Iran, Russia, and North Korea. The U.S. appears to be using this détente to invest domestically and build coalitions, preparing for future pushback, but risks escalating unresolved issues into future conflicts.
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