The announcement of a framework deal to end the war in Iran has solidified the conventional wisdom that the United States and Israel ultimately lost. Despite achieving tactical and operational successes, U.S. and Israeli militaries failed to secure the political objectives initially cited to justify the conflict. The Iranian regime not only survived but emerged more hard-line, discovering a new, powerful negotiating chip in its demonstrated ability to close the Strait of Hormuz.
This costly Middle East conflict further embroiled the United States, damaging its credibility with partners, weakening deterrence with adversaries, and reducing military readiness in the Indo-Pacific region. Concurrently, Israel's efforts to advance normalization with Saudi Arabia and other Arab Gulf states were significantly set back, failing to eliminate the Iranian threat in the postwar regional order.
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