12 November 2025

Ukraine Military Situation: Will Pokrovsk Fall? How Will Russian Glide Bombs Affect The War?

Can Kasapoğlu

Ukrainian forces have committed significant effort to maintaining layered defensive combat operations in and around the most critical current flashpoint of the war, Pokrovsk.

In recent weeks the city has faced continuous Russian offensive waves. The Ukrainian military is now trying to pinpoint the exact locations of Russian assault groups and halt their movements, a process known in military terminology as fixing. These fixing operations seek to prepare and shape the battlefield for potential Ukrainian counteroffensives should Ukraine break the momentum of Russia’s piercing moves.

While Kyiv’s official statements have denied that Pokrovsk could soon fall, Ukrainian combat formations are at risk of complete encirclementin the city. Open-source visuals of tactical engagements suggest that heavy fighting is raging throughout the area. Fighting has escalatedin Myrnohrad on the northern flank of Pokrovsk. The Ukrainian General Staff has rushed reinforcements to the area, including air assault combat formations under the 7th Rapid Response Corps and a notable drone warfare unit, the 425th Separate Assault Regiment (known as “Skala”). To boost morale, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited the 7th Rapid Response Corps’ command.

In a parallel effort, Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate (GUR), led by General Kyrylo Budanov, has also deployed elite warfighting formations to the area. Last week GUR forces raided critical areas and conducted air cavalry operations—using rotary-wing aircraft to give land warfare formations air support and increase their maneuverability. Budanov’s troops, led by the Timur Special Unit, are focused on maintaining lines of communication and preventing Russian units from attaining fire control over the logistics routes of Ukraine’s defensive lines. The Russian militaryhas long targeted Ukraine’s logistics in the area.

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