The Week | Rafi Schwartz
Russian forces last month lost more territory to Ukraine than they captured, marking the first such occurrence in nearly two years and signaling a potential turning point in Moscow’s invasion. Russia is also losing soldiers faster than it can recruit and deploy them, indicating a shift in momentum towards Kyiv. The Economist noted Russia's "diminished" Victory Day parade reflected its vulnerability and battlefield setbacks, alongside the growing effectiveness of Ukraine’s long-range strikes. The Institute for the Study of War attributes Russia's weakened position to three factors: Ukrainian ground counter-attacks and mid-range strikes, the cessation of Russia’s illicit Starlink terminal use, and the Kremlin’s throttling of Telegram. Russia's "exaggerated territorial ambitions" also contradict current battlefield realities, placing Vladimir Putin in a precarious position due to technological barriers and a weakening social contract.
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