27 June 2026

Why “China First” Will Fail: The Limits and Lessons of a Transactional Foreign Policy

Foreign Affairs  |  Patricia Kim

The United States' retreat from global leadership under "America first" has created a vacuum, with some allied countries showing increased favorability towards China. However, China's "China first" strategy, prioritizing narrow national interests, suggests Beijing is not seeking to replace Washington as a global leader or assume superpower burdens.

China pursues global reach without entanglement, forming flexible partnerships within groups like the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and BRICS, and avoiding formal alliances or long-term commitments. This approach is clear in its dealings with partners like Russia and Iran, where China provides economic and diplomatic backing but largely avoids direct military involvement or restraining destabilizing actions. While this strategy extends China's influence with minimal risk, it struggles to foster partner loyalty, leading to hedging and risking global instability. China's historical experience, particularly its 1950 alliance with the Soviet Union and its involvement in the Korean War, reinforced its preference for flexible, non-aligned partnerships, a principle continued under Xi Jinping's "new type of international relations."

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