27 September 2026

Human Cost of Outdated GPS

Real Clear World | Justin Deifel

Outdated positioning, navigation, and timing systems leave military forces vulnerable to enemy jamming and spoofing in contested environments like Ukraine and Iran. GPS signals travel over 20,000 kilometers and arrive extremely weak, creating critical operational risks when adversary electronic warfare degrades precision weapons and drones. Bureaucratic acquisition processes and outdated policies have historically delayed necessary modernizations, highlighted by the cancellation of the Next Generation Operational Control System after 15 years and $6 billion spent.

Commercial innovation has already produced complementary positioning, navigation, and timing solutions that can be fielded rapidly to eliminate total dependence on a single fragile constellation. Policymakers must immediately integrate these available commercial capabilities to protect service members and eliminate avoidable tactical vulnerabilities. Accelerating the deployment of resilient navigation infrastructure remains essential to preventing further casualties among deployed personnel.

Comment

Prolonged acquisition cycles in military satellite constellations create a dangerous capability lag against proliferating electronic warfare capabilities. The cancellation of the Next Generation Operational Control System mirrors systemic delays seen in the Air Force's Milstar satellite communications deployment, where requirements creep consistently outpaced technological evolution. Software-defined architectures and commercial low-Earth orbit constellations offer an alternative pathway to bypass legacy multi-decade procurement models.

Strategic Question for Discussion
How can military acquisition authorities integrate commercial low-Earth orbit positioning, navigation, and timing constellations without compromising the encryption and anti-jamming standards required for contested theater operations?
The pattern suggests that military buyers will need to leverage hybrid receiver architectures rather than waiting for monolithic government constellations. This points to a dual-tier procurement model where commercial constellations provide rapid resilience while bespoke military waveforms maintain assured access in contested spectrums.
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