Paul Hockenos
Ukraine’s battlefield prospects against Russia clearly dimmed when the Trump administration took office. Trump has consistently signaled that, at the very least, military aid resembling anything close to that the Biden administration bankrolled would not be forthcoming. Ukraine’s route to a secure and sovereign future thus became much narrower—so much so that a dark pessimism descended on many European observers.
But the excessive gloom is uncalled for—and counterproductive. Ukraine already produces the world’s most advanced front-line weaponry and innovates with cunning on the battlefield. It has already routed Russia in the Black Sea theater and, recently, pulled off another bombastic coup in Operation Spider Web, targeting 41 aircraft with drone strikes deep into Russia and likely destroying at least 10 of them. As long as the Ukrainians’ determination to fight on is undiminished, there are strategies available to help them win—even without U.S. support at the levels to which they have become accustomed.
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