27 June 2026

Indian Airpower in the Age of Denial Lessons from Operation Sindoor, the Unmanned Imperative and the Way Ahead

CAPSS India  |  Sameer Joshi

Operation Sindoor in May 2025 demonstrated that classical air superiority is no longer achievable against capable adversaries, ushering in a "Zone of Ambiguity" characterized by mutual denial, political indecision, operational challenges from layered air defenses, and contested information narratives. Despite this, Indian airpower proved uniquely capable of delivering rapid, precise strategic effects, forcing Pakistan to request a ceasefire within 88 hours after an Indian S-400 destroyed a PAF AEW&C platform at 300 kilometers and BrahMos missiles cratered five Pakistani airbases.

India's structural shortfall of manned squadrons, currently 29-31 against an authorized 42, necessitates a shift towards unmanned systems at scale. Collaborative Combat Aircraft, attritable UCAVs, drone swarms, and Manned-Unmanned Teaming are identified as the only credible path to achieve operational mass and counter threats like China's J-20s and Pakistan's J-35As. The paper advocates for India to embrace this global wave of autonomous technology now, transitioning to an IAF organized around networked, distributed, and partially autonomous ecosystems.

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