The People's Republic of China (PRC) employs inevitability narratives as a core tactic in cognitive warfare against Taiwan, aiming to portray unification as an unavoidable historical outcome and resistance as futile, a message President Xi Jinping reinforced in his 2026 New Year address. This message is amplified through digital campaigns, with Taiwan's National Security Bureau (NSB) identifying over 45,000 coordinated fake accounts and two million pieces of disinformation promoting China's unstoppable rise and unreliable foreign support.
Drawing parallels to Thomas Paine's _Common Sense_ during the American Revolution, the PRC uses state media, military statements, and short-form videos to cultivate a psychological conclusion that resistance merely delays a predetermined end. While messaging is tailored for different audiences, these narratives are vulnerable. Taiwan's robust digital ecosystem of journalists and fact-checkers rapidly debunks manipulated content, causing campaigns to appear clumsy and sometimes strengthening Taiwanese political distinctiveness, thereby challenging the perception of a fixed future.
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