RealClearDefense | Pavlo Kuliuk
Current political meetings regarding the war in Ukraine are not genuine peace negotiations, which are inherently secret, but rather political maneuvering. The original U.S.-mediated peace plan between the EU and Russia failed due to European non-recognition of U.S. mediation. This led the U.S. to direct talks with Russia, weakening Europe and prolonging the conflict. The article posits that the wars in Ukraine and the Persian Gulf are interconnected, with the U.S. strategically using Russia against the EU and Iran against Gulf states, primarily targeting European influence. Ukraine is portrayed as a territory occupied by European and Russian forces since 2014. The war's resolution hinges on Ukraine's complete transfer to either Russian or European control, or the restoration of independence. Given Europe's reluctance to offer concessions and Russia's battlefield dominance in depleting Ukrainian "Euro-collaborators," the author concludes that Ukraine will likely fall entirely under Russian control through military victory, not negotiation. Widespread draft evasion by Ukrainian men is cited as a factor contributing to Russia's strategic advantage.
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